AFC Telford United 2-0 Mickleover Sports — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
25%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.73
No
47%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
45%
+0.8pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.4pp
25%
Away Win
30%
-5.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
46%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mickleover Sports EU Bookmakers 34%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.84/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.27
+12% / +140% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +25%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
242 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Telford United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Mickleover Sports
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
06.01.2024 Mickleover Sports 0-1 HT 0-1 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United İNGNLP
12.09.2023 AFC Telford United AFC Telford United 1-2 HT 0-1 Mickleover Sports İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Telford United
2-0
AWAY Mickleover Sports
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH AFC Telford United vs Mickleover Sports
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Telford United got the better of Mickleover Sports 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had AFC Telford United as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, AFC Telford United had 44% of the ball to Mickleover Sports's 56%, shots finished 14-3.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for AFC Telford United and 1.00 for Mickleover Sports.

What was the final score of AFC Telford United vs Mickleover Sports?

AFC Telford United 2-0 Mickleover Sports in the England - Non League Premier on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Telford United vs Mickleover Sports?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Telford United win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split AFC Telford United 46%, draw 29%, Mickleover Sports 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Telford United) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Telford United) ✗ BTTS Yes
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