Leamington 1-0 Redditch United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS No — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
50%
+1.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.4pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.7pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leamington EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Redditch United EU Bookmakers 29%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +18%
1.64/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.05
-6% / +61% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +58%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
284 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leamington
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Redditch United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
23.03.2024 Redditch United Redditch United 0-3 HT 0-1 Leamington Leamington İNGNLP
25.11.2023 Leamington Leamington 3-0 HT 0-0 Redditch United Redditch United İNGNLP
07.10.2023 Redditch United Redditch United 2-1 Leamington Leamington FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leamington
1-0
AWAY Redditch United
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leamington vs Redditch United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leamington nicked a narrow win over Redditch United 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Leamington as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Leamington had 53% of the ball to Redditch United's 47%, shots finished 11-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Leamington had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Leamington and 0.67 for Redditch United.

What was the final score of Leamington vs Redditch United?

Leamington 1-0 Redditch United in the England - Non League Premier on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leamington vs Redditch United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leamington win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Leamington 51%, draw 25%, Redditch United 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Leamington), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Leamington) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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