AFC Totton 2-1 Bracknell Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Non League Premier, 1 May 2024

📅01/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
1.97
Over 2.5
58%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.2pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.2pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+7.4pp
42%
Under 2.5
47%
-4.9pp
58%
Over 2.5
53%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Totton EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Bracknell Town EU Bookmakers 30%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
2.20/1.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/2.36
+26% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +67% / -31%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
335 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Totton
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Bracknell Town
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
10.04.2024 AFC Totton AFC Totton 3-2 HT 1-0 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town İNGNLP
21.10.2023 Bracknell Town Bracknell Town 1-5 HT 1-3 AFC Totton AFC Totton İNGNLP
POST-MATCH AFC Totton vs Bracknell Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Totton squeezed past Bracknell Town 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AFC Totton as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, AFC Totton had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 4.00 goals for AFC Totton and 1.50 for Bracknell Town.

What was the final score of AFC Totton vs Bracknell Town?

AFC Totton 2-1 Bracknell Town in the England - Non League Premier on 01/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Totton vs Bracknell Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Totton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AFC Totton 44%, draw 22%, Bracknell Town 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Totton), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (AFC Totton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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