Super Nova vs Auda Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Super Nova v Auda — Team-Based Signals
Super Nova vs Auda Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Super Nova 1-2 Auda — Actual Match Statistics
Auda edged past Super Nova 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Auda as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Super Nova had 31% of the ball to Auda's 69%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.51 to 1.72 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Auda's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Auda led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Super Nova and 1.83 for Auda.
What was the final score of Super Nova vs Auda?
Super Nova 1-2 Auda in the Latvia - Virsliga on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Super Nova vs Auda?
Before kick-off our model rated an Auda win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Super Nova 16%, draw 19%, Auda 65%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Auda), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.