Mineros de Zacatecas 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera A, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
28%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under
51%
1.87
Over
49%
1.87
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
3%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas The Market 44%
Signal
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos The Market 36%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.60 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
1.02 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.34
Strong Attack Strength Average
Great Defense Strength Average
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
10 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
326 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2 Yellow Cards 3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 1
09.03.2026 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 4-0 HT 2-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
27.09.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 3-3 HT 1-1 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
20.04.2025 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 1-2 HT 0-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
03.11.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
16.02.2024 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos 1-1 HT 1-0 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas MEK2
20.11.2023 Mineros de Zacatecas Mineros de Zacatecas 5-2 HT 2-0 Tepatitlán de Morelos Tepatitlán de Morelos MEK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mineros de Zacatecas
1 - 1
AWAY Tepatitlán de Morelos
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
6 Yellow Cards 3
REVIEW Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mineros de Zacatecas and Tepatitlán de Morelos couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We leaned Mineros de Zacatecas at 42% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

The match data tells the story: Tepatitlán de Morelos saw more of the ball, 52% to 48%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Tepatitlán de Morelos led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.83 a game for Mineros de Zacatecas against 2.17 for Tepatitlán de Morelos.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Result & Final Score

Mineros de Zacatecas 1 - 1 Tepatitlán de Morelos in the Mexico - Primera A on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mineros de Zacatecas vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Mineros de Zacatecas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Mineros de Zacatecas 42%, draw 30%, Tepatitlán de Morelos 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mineros de Zacatecas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MEK2 More Mexico - Primera A
1 May 2026
06:05 CDS Tampico Madero vs Cancun FC Analysis →