Zamalek 0-3 Al Ahly — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Egypt - Premier League, 1 May 2026

📅01/05/2026 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
36%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.85
No
56%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.59
2-3 Goals
38%
1.7
4-5 Goals
17%
4.01
6+ Goals
8%
19.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.59 — our 37% vs market 30.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
15%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
31%
+4.2pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.1pp
37%
Away Win
40%
-3.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+3.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-3.3pp
44%
BTTS Yes
50%
-5.7pp
56%
BTTS No
50%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zamalek EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahly EU Bookmakers 43%
+25% / +25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +1%
0.95/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.86
+31% / +53% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
281 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
14.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
10.6 Crosses 13.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zamalek
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Al Ahly
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 1.09
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
284 Passes 358
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 16
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
09.11.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-0 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSRSK
29.09.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 2-1 HT 0-1 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
11.03.2025 Zamalek Zamalek 3-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSR
22.02.2025 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 0-0 Zamalek Zamalek MSR
24.10.2024 Zamalek Zamalek 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahly Al Ahly MSRSK
27.09.2024 Al Ahly Al Ahly 1-1 HT 1-0 Zamalek Zamalek CAFSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zamalek
0-3
AWAY Al Ahly
1.72 xG 2.58
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 1
346 Passes 271
85% Pass Accuracy 80%
36 Box Touches 19
26 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Zamalek vs Al Ahly
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahly swept aside Zamalek 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 29% / 37% — and on the day Al Ahly made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (56%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Zamalek had 56% of the ball to Al Ahly's 44%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 1.72 to 2.58.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ahly led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Zamalek and 1.00 for Al Ahly.

What was the final score of Zamalek vs Al Ahly?

Zamalek 0-3 Al Ahly in the Egypt - Premier League on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zamalek vs Al Ahly?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Ahly win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Zamalek 35%, draw 29%, Al Ahly 37%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Ahly), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Ahly) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
MSR More Egypt - Premier League
1 May 2026
17:00 Pyramids vs ENPPI Analysis →
17:00 Ceramica Cleopatra vs Al Masry Analysis →