Maritimo vs Leixoes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Maritimo v Leixoes — Team-Based Signals
Maritimo vs Leixoes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Maritimo
POR2
1-2
HT 1-2
Maritimo
PORLC
Maritimo 3-2 Leixoes — Actual Match Statistics
Maritimo nicked a narrow win over Leixoes 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Maritimo as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Maritimo had 41% of the ball to Leixoes's 59%, shots finished 4-9, expected goals 1.32 to 1.50.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Maritimo had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Maritimo and 0.83 for Leixoes.
What was the final score of Maritimo vs Leixoes?
Maritimo 3-2 Leixoes in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 01/05/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Maritimo vs Leixoes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Maritimo win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Maritimo 46%, draw 32%, Leixoes 22%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maritimo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.