Daegu 1-1 Gwangju — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
35%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.82
Over 2.5
46%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.24
2-3 Goals
37%
1.83
4-5 Goals
22%
3.79
6+ Goals
11%
15.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 26.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
5.17
1/2
7%
25.5
1/X
6%
14.2
X/1
11%
6.95
X/2
11%
4.82
X/X
17%
4.72
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
17%
2.96
2/X
6%
13.55
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
29%
+7.4pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.5pp
35%
Away Win
45%
-9.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
51%
+2.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
49%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-4.6pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Gwangju EU Bookmakers 49%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.94/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.23/0.86
+72% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -80% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
278 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 427 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
13.3 Crosses 16.0
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Daegu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Gwangju
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
314 Passes 435
80% Pass Accuracy 86%
18 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2025 Gwangju Gwangju 2-1 HT 2-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
18.10.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-1 HT 0-0 Daegu Daegu GKOR
21.07.2024 Daegu Daegu 0-1 HT 0-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOR
11.05.2024 Daegu Daegu 3-2 HT 2-2 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
31.03.2024 Gwangju Gwangju 1-2 HT 1-1 Daegu Daegu GKOK
11.11.2023 Daegu Daegu 1-1 HT 1-1 Gwangju Gwangju GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
1-1
AWAY Gwangju
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
263 Passes 321
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
15 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Gwangju
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu and Gwangju shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 29% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Daegu had 45% of the ball to Gwangju's 55%, shots finished 10-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Daegu and 1.33 for Gwangju.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Gwangju?

Daegu 1-1 Gwangju in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Gwangju?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Daegu 36%, draw 29%, Gwangju 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Daegu), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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