Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 Suwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Classic, 1 Jun 2025

📅01/06/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.15
Over 2.5
47%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
4.23
2-3 Goals
39%
1.91
4-5 Goals
24%
3.12
6+ Goals
9%
9.77
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.23 — our 28% vs market 19.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.24
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
8%
14.1
X/1
23%
4.43
X/2
15%
9.28
X/X
10%
5.76
2/1
6%
21.35
2/2
8%
6.9
2/X
8%
15.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.3pp
26%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
43%
+9.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
57%
-9.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Suwon City EU Bookmakers 26%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -24%
1.29/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/1.56
-20% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -14%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
21.1 Crosses 15.1
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Suwon City
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.78 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
352 Passes 378
81% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.04.2025 Suwon City Suwon City 3-2 HT 1-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
02.11.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 1-0 HT 1-0 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
21.09.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 2-4 HT 1-2 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOR
09.07.2024 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu 2-3 HT 0-2 Suwon City Suwon City GKOR
30.03.2024 Suwon City Suwon City 1-4 HT 0-3 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
02.10.2022 Suwon City Suwon City 2-2 HT 2-1 Gimcheon Sangmu Gimcheon Sangmu GKOK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimcheon Sangmu
1-1
AWAY Suwon City
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
341 Passes 274
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimcheon Sangmu and Suwon City couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Gimcheon Sangmu at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gimcheon Sangmu had 56% of the ball to Suwon City's 44%, shots finished 9-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimcheon Sangmu had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Gimcheon Sangmu and 1.83 for Suwon City.

What was the final score of Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City?

Gimcheon Sangmu 1-1 Suwon City in the South Kore - K League Classic on 01/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimcheon Sangmu vs Suwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimcheon Sangmu win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Gimcheon Sangmu 45%, draw 26%, Suwon City 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Gimcheon Sangmu) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GKOR More South Kore - K League Classic
1 Jun 2025
13:00 Daegu vs Gwangju Analysis →
13:00 Pohang Steelers vs Gangwon Analysis →