Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cienciano v Sporting Cristal — Team-Based Signals
Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sporting Cristal
PER
4-2
HT 2-0
Cienciano
PER
Cienciano 3-2 Sporting Cristal — Actual Match Statistics
Cienciano nicked a narrow win over Sporting Cristal 3-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we said in the preview, our model had Cienciano as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Cienciano had 57% of the ball to Sporting Cristal's 43%, shots finished 25-10, expected goals 2.80 to 0.44 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Cienciano's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Cristal led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Cienciano and 2.33 for Sporting Cristal.
What was the final score of Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
Cienciano 3-2 Sporting Cristal in the Peru - Premier League on 01/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cienciano vs Sporting Cristal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cienciano win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Cienciano 54%, draw 21%, Sporting Cristal 25%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cienciano), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.