Valur 3-1 Stjarnan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.64
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
27%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.41
No
45%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
20%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
57%
-6.1pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
27%
Away Win
22%
+5.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
67%
-11.2pp
45%
BTTS No
33%
+11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Valur EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Stjarnan EU Bookmakers 25%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
2.46/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.70
+3% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +36%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
322 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Valur
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Stjarnan
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.77 xG 1.65
49% Ball Possession 51%
17 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 7
326 Passes 340
78% Pass Accuracy 80%
31 Box Touches 32
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.06.2025 Stjarnan Stjarnan 3-2 HT 1-1 Valur Valur İZL
23.09.2024 Valur Valur 2-2 HT 0-2 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
30.05.2024 Valur Valur 5-1 HT 2-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
19.04.2024 Stjarnan Stjarnan 1-0 HT 1-0 Valur Valur İZL
17.09.2023 Valur Valur 2-0 HT 1-0 Stjarnan Stjarnan İZL
17.07.2023 Stjarnan Stjarnan 2-0 HT 1-0 Valur Valur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Valur
3-1
AWAY Stjarnan
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 6
9 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Valur vs Stjarnan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Valur got the better of Stjarnan 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Valur as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Valur had 50% of the ball to Stjarnan's 50%, shots finished 16-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stjarnan led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Valur and 1.50 for Stjarnan.

What was the final score of Valur vs Stjarnan?

Valur 3-1 Stjarnan in the Iceland - VISA Bikar Cup on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Valur vs Stjarnan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Valur win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Valur 51%, draw 22%, Stjarnan 27%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Valur), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Valur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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