Larne FC 3-0 Portadown FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Jul 2025

📅01/07/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
26%
4.08
Away
19%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.03
No
54%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
6%
X/X
15%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.7pp
26%
Draw
21%
+4.8pp
19%
Away Win
14%
+4.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
45%
+1.2pp
54%
BTTS No
55%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Larne FC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Portadown FC EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -30%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +89%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
371 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Larne FC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Portadown FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
15.02.2025 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
01.02.2025 Larne FC Larne FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
27.10.2024 Portadown FC Portadown FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
24.01.2023 Larne FC Larne FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Portadown FC Portadown FC KİRL
12.11.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-5 HT 0-2 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
17.09.2022 Portadown FC Portadown FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Larne FC Larne FC KİRL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Larne FC
3-0
AWAY Portadown FC
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 4
POST-MATCH Larne FC vs Portadown FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Larne FC ran out comfortable winners over Portadown FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Larne FC as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Larne FC had 55% of the ball to Portadown FC's 45%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Larne FC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Larne FC and 0.83 for Portadown FC.

What was the final score of Larne FC vs Portadown FC?

Larne FC 3-0 Portadown FC in the Friendlies on 01/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Larne FC vs Portadown FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Larne FC win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Larne FC 55%, draw 26%, Portadown FC 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Larne FC), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Larne FC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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