Llapi 2-2 Brondby — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
4.65
Draw
24%
3.94
Away
43%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.18
Over 2.5
52%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
4.34
2-3 Goals
37%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.97
6+ Goals
9%
8.88
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
18%
+14.3pp
24%
Draw
22%
+1.9pp
43%
Away Win
60%
-16.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-3.3pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llapi EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Brondby EU Bookmakers 64%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+0% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
280 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 419 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Llapi
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Brondby
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
0.07 xG 3.11
30% Ball Possession 70%
3 Total Shots 21
0 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
200 Passes 562
74% Pass Accuracy 90%
4 Box Touches 37
5 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.07.2024 Brondby Brondby 6-0 HT 4-0 Llapi Llapi AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Llapi
2-2
AWAY Brondby
0.78 xG 2.27
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 8
233 Passes 377
77% Pass Accuracy 85%
19 Box Touches 32
16 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Llapi vs Brondby
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llapi and Brondby shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Brondby at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Llapi had 41% of the ball to Brondby's 59%, shots finished 14-16, expected goals 0.78 to 2.27.

What was the final score of Llapi vs Brondby?

Llapi 2-2 Brondby in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llapi vs Brondby?

Before kick-off our model rated an Brondby win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Llapi 33%, draw 24%, Brondby 43%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brondby) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Brondby) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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