Pafos 3-0 Zalgiris Vilnius — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.37
Draw
19%
4.62
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.23
Over 2.5
58%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
4%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
69%
-8.0pp
19%
Draw
19%
+0.4pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.2pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.3pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pafos EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius EU Bookmakers 16%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
426 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.6
Crosses 10.9
Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pafos
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
25.07.2024 Zalgiris Vilnius Zalgiris Vilnius 2-1 HT 2-0 Pafos Pafos AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pafos
3-0
AWAY Zalgiris Vilnius
59% Ball Possession 41%
33 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Pafos vs Zalgiris Vilnius
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pafos cruised past Zalgiris Vilnius 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pafos as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pafos had 59% of the ball to Zalgiris Vilnius's 41%, shots finished 33-9.

What was the final score of Pafos vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Pafos 3-0 Zalgiris Vilnius in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pafos vs Zalgiris Vilnius?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pafos win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Pafos 61%, draw 19%, Zalgiris Vilnius 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pafos), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pafos) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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