Ordabasy Shymkent 4-3 Differdange 03 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
28%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.62
Over 2.5
48%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.51
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.72
6+ Goals
9%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
58%
-8.8pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
28%
Away Win
18%
+9.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.4pp
48%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.7pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Differdange 03 EU Bookmakers 21%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
318 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Differdange 03
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
23.07.2024 Differdange 03 Differdange 03 1-0 HT 1-0 Ordabasy Shymkent Ordabasy Shymkent AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ordabasy Shymkent
4-3
AWAY Differdange 03
63% Ball Possession 37%
28 Total Shots 11
11 Shots on Target 4
15 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Ordabasy Shymkent vs Differdange 03
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ordabasy Shymkent edged past Differdange 03 4-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ordabasy Shymkent as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ordabasy Shymkent had 63% of the ball to Differdange 03's 37%, shots finished 28-11.

What was the final score of Ordabasy Shymkent vs Differdange 03?

Ordabasy Shymkent 4-3 Differdange 03 in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ordabasy Shymkent vs Differdange 03?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ordabasy Shymkent win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Ordabasy Shymkent 49%, draw 23%, Differdange 03 28%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ordabasy Shymkent) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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