FC Astana 1-0 Milsami — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa Conference League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.37
Draw
23%
4.49
Away
22%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.06
No
53%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.71
2-3 Goals
37%
1.82
4-5 Goals
27%
3.27
6+ Goals
10%
11.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
69%
-13.5pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
44%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS No
56%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Astana EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Milsami EU Bookmakers 15%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/1.71
-57% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +32%
62% Ball Possession 38%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
413 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Astana
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Milsami
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.07.2024 Milsami Milsami 1-1 HT 0-0 FC Astana FC Astana AVKL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Astana
1-0
AWAY Milsami
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH FC Astana vs Milsami
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Astana squeezed past Milsami 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had FC Astana as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, shots finished 16-6.

What was the final score of FC Astana vs Milsami?

FC Astana 1-0 Milsami in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Astana vs Milsami?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Astana win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split FC Astana 55%, draw 22%, Milsami 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Astana), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (FC Astana) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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