Elfsborg 2-0 FC Sheriff — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.45
Draw
25%
4.19
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.84
4-5 Goals
21%
3.15
6+ Goals
10%
10.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.93 — our 28% vs market 20.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-9.4pp
25%
Draw
21%
+3.8pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+5.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.6pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 18%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -3%
3.07/0.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/1.83
+44% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
393 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.4
Crosses 11.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Elfsborg
1W-0D-0L
AWAY FC Sheriff
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2024 FC Sheriff FC Sheriff 0-1 HT 0-0 Elfsborg Elfsborg AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Elfsborg
2-0
AWAY FC Sheriff
2.44 xG 0.18
54% Ball Possession 46%
20 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 3
311 Passes 248
78% Pass Accuracy 73%
29 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 16
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Elfsborg vs FC Sheriff
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg got the better of FC Sheriff 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Elfsborg had 54% of the ball to FC Sheriff's 46%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.44 to 0.18.

What was the final score of Elfsborg vs FC Sheriff?

Elfsborg 2-0 FC Sheriff in the UEFA Europa League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Elfsborg vs FC Sheriff?

Before kick-off our model rated a Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Elfsborg 55%, draw 25%, FC Sheriff 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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