Vojvodina 1-3 Ajax — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 1 Aug 2024

📅01/08/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.5
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
40%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.07
Over 2.5
60%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.66
No
44%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.98
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
30%
3.12
6+ Goals
11%
10.2
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.12 — our 30% vs market 26.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
25%
+10.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
41%
Away Win
51%
-10.9pp
40%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.4pp
60%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.4pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.3pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vojvodina EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Ajax EU Bookmakers 56%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.25/2.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.77/0.91
-79% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +77% / +17%
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
247 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 444 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.3
Crosses 10.5
Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vojvodina
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ajax
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.78 xG 0.82
36% Ball Possession 64%
12 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 10
266 Passes 487
83% Pass Accuracy 88%
10 Box Touches 40
12 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.07.2024 Ajax Ajax 1-0 HT 0-0 Vojvodina Vojvodina AVL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vojvodina
1-3
AWAY Ajax
0.34 xG 2.65
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 19
1 Shots on Target 9
1 Corners 9
340 Passes 405
82% Pass Accuracy 85%
4 Box Touches 40
7 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Vojvodina vs Ajax
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax saw off Vojvodina 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vojvodina had 46% of the ball to Ajax's 54%, shots finished 5-19, expected goals 0.34 to 2.65.

What was the final score of Vojvodina vs Ajax?

Vojvodina 1-3 Ajax in the UEFA Europa League on 01/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vojvodina vs Ajax?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Vojvodina 35%, draw 25%, Ajax 41%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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