Ajax 1-0 Vojvodina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.25
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
21%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.14
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
7.62
2-3 Goals
39%
2.26
4-5 Goals
24%
2.42
6+ Goals
12%
4.42
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
32%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
76%
-18.8pp
22%
Draw
15%
+7.6pp
21%
Away Win
10%
+11.0pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.2pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.3pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ajax EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Vojvodina EU Bookmakers 12%
-12% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +15%
1.16/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.63
-57% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +42% / +44%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 2
434 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 73%
30.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.0
14.6 Crosses 21.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 6.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ajax
1-0
AWAY Vojvodina
0.82 xG 0.78
64% Ball Possession 36%
19 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 3
487 Passes 266
88% Pass Accuracy 83%
40 Box Touches 10
29 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ajax vs Vojvodina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ajax squeezed past Vojvodina 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ajax had 64% of the ball to Vojvodina's 36%, shots finished 19-12, expected goals 0.82 to 0.78.

What was the final score of Ajax vs Vojvodina?

Ajax 1-0 Vojvodina in the UEFA Europa League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ajax vs Vojvodina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ajax 57%, draw 22%, Vojvodina 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ajax) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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