Panathinaikos 2-1 Botev Plovdiv — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.34
Draw
23%
4.62
Away
25%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.2
2-3 Goals
41%
1.86
4-5 Goals
24%
3.02
6+ Goals
9%
9.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.2 — our 26% vs market 18.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
70%
-18.2pp
23%
Draw
18%
+4.6pp
25%
Away Win
12%
+13.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panathinaikos EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY Botev Plovdiv EU Bookmakers 15%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
1.14/1.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.89
-51% / -51% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +123% / +19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
38.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
48.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Panathinaikos
2-1
AWAY Botev Plovdiv
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Panathinaikos vs Botev Plovdiv
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Panathinaikos nicked a narrow win over Botev Plovdiv 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Panathinaikos as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Panathinaikos had 58% of the ball to Botev Plovdiv's 42%, shots finished 19-7.

What was the final score of Panathinaikos vs Botev Plovdiv?

Panathinaikos 2-1 Botev Plovdiv in the UEFA Europa League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panathinaikos vs Botev Plovdiv?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panathinaikos win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Panathinaikos 52%, draw 23%, Botev Plovdiv 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Panathinaikos) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Panathinaikos) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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