Wisla Krakow 1-2 Rapid Wien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
4.04
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
44%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.97
Over 2.5
54%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
8%
X/2
19%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
21%
+10.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.1pp
44%
Away Win
55%
-11.2pp
46%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Rapid Wien EU Bookmakers 59%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.00/0.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.41/0.83
-7% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / +17%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
315 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.0
Crosses 8.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Krakow
1-2
AWAY Rapid Wien
1.59 xG 0.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
20 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
371 Passes 369
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
28 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 18
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Wisla Krakow vs Rapid Wien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rapid Wien squeezed past Wisla Krakow 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rapid Wien as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wisla Krakow had 51% of the ball to Rapid Wien's 49%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.59 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Wisla Krakow.

What was the final score of Wisla Krakow vs Rapid Wien?

Wisla Krakow 1-2 Rapid Wien in the UEFA Europa League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Krakow vs Rapid Wien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rapid Wien win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Wisla Krakow 31%, draw 25%, Rapid Wien 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rapid Wien), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rapid Wien) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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