FC Sheriff 0-1 Elfsborg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA Europa League, 25 Jul 2024

📅25/07/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
48%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.9
Over 2.5
54%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.7
No
47%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.49
6+ Goals
12%
13.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
7%
X/2
21%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
30%
-4.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.5pp
48%
Away Win
43%
+5.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.2pp
53%
BTTS Yes
55%
-1.4pp
47%
BTTS No
45%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Sheriff EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Elfsborg EU Bookmakers 48%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -33% / -33%
0.96/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/1.35
-23% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -56% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
300 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 76%
13.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
11.0 Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Sheriff
0-1
AWAY Elfsborg
43% Ball Possession 57%
3 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH FC Sheriff vs Elfsborg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Elfsborg edged past FC Sheriff 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Elfsborg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, FC Sheriff had 43% of the ball to Elfsborg's 57%, shots finished 3-8.

What was the final score of FC Sheriff vs Elfsborg?

FC Sheriff 0-1 Elfsborg in the UEFA Europa League on 25/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Sheriff vs Elfsborg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Elfsborg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split FC Sheriff 26%, draw 26%, Elfsborg 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Elfsborg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Elfsborg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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