Port Melbourne 1-1 Dandenong City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒13:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
19%
4.08
Away
59%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
Over 2.5
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.53
No
45%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
7%
2/1
7%
2/2
35%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
21%
+1.3pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.5pp
59%
Away Win
58%
+1.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
61%
-6.0pp
45%
BTTS No
39%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Dandenong City EU Bookmakers 62%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +30%
1.51/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
+24% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
250 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Dandenong City
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.39 xG 0.17
61% Ball Possession 39%
20 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 2
421 Passes 202
80% Pass Accuracy 64%
28 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
25.04.2025 Dandenong City Dandenong City 5-2 HT 1-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
09.08.2024 Dandenong City Dandenong City 5-3 HT 2-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
04.05.2024 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 3-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.07.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-0 Dandenong City Dandenong City AVNPL
16.04.2022 Dandenong City Dandenong City 1-1 HT 1-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
21.05.2021 Dandenong City Dandenong City 0-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Dandenong City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Port Melbourne and Dandenong City shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. Dandenong City carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (62%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Port Melbourne and 2.17 for Dandenong City.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Dandenong City?

Port Melbourne 1-1 Dandenong City in the Australia - National Premier League on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Dandenong City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Dandenong City win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 22%, draw 19%, Dandenong City 59%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Dandenong City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Dandenong City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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