LASK Linz 0-2 Sturm Graz — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - Bundesliga, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
2.18
Over
53%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
59%
1.53
No
41%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
42%
4-5
22%
6+
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
41%
Home Win
40%
+0.4pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
42%
+5.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
58%
-5.4pp
59%
BTTS Yes
61%
-2.1pp
41%
BTTS No
39%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME LASK Linz The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz The Market 37%
-1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -16%
1.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.62
+43% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
318 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 69%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
20.2 Crosses 17.9
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME LASK Linz
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sturm Graz
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.65 xG 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
271 Passes 272
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
19 Box Touches 23
21 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2025 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 4-2 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
27.10.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 1-2 HT 0-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
12.05.2024 LASK Linz LASK Linz 2-2 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
07.04.2024 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 1-0 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
05.11.2023 LASK Linz LASK Linz 3-1 HT 2-0 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz AVU
05.08.2023 Sturm Graz Sturm Graz 2-0 HT 1-0 LASK Linz LASK Linz AVU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME LASK Linz
0-2
AWAY Sturm Graz
0.88 xG 2.65
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 18
1 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 3
450 Passes 294
88% Pass Accuracy 85%
23 Box Touches 28
26 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sturm Graz got the better of LASK Linz 2-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was LASK Linz at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, LASK Linz had 60% of the ball to Sturm Graz's 40%, shots finished 10-18, expected goals 0.88 to 2.65.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sturm Graz led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for LASK Linz and 2.00 for Sturm Graz.

What was the final score of LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz?

LASK Linz 0-2 Sturm Graz in the Austria - Bundesliga on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for LASK Linz vs Sturm Graz?

Before kick-off our model rated a LASK Linz win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split LASK Linz 41%, draw 27%, Sturm Graz 32%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (LASK Linz) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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