Debrecen 1-0 MTK Budapest — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Hungary - NB I, 1 Aug 2025

📅01/08/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under
37%
2.38
Over Pick
63%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
62%
1.46
No
38%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1
17%
4.76
2-3
42%
1.91
4-5
30%
2.64
6+
11%
6.69
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Debrecen The Market 46%
Head to Head
AWAY MTK Budapest The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.72 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.37
1.45 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.66
Average Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Average
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 78%
24 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21
22 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Debrecen
1W-1D-4L
AWAY MTK Budapest
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.25 xG 1.33
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
406 Passes 288
84% Pass Accuracy 77%
28 Box Touches 19
28 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
03.05.2025 Debrecen Debrecen 0-0 HT 0-0 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
07.02.2025 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 0-2 HT 0-1 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
28.09.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 2-3 HT 1-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
06.04.2024 Debrecen Debrecen 1-2 HT 0-1 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
09.12.2023 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest 2-1 HT 1-0 Debrecen Debrecen MAC
27.08.2023 Debrecen Debrecen 1-3 HT 1-2 MTK Budapest MTK Budapest MAC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Debrecen
1 - 0
AWAY MTK Budapest
0.83 xG 1.51
36% Ball Possession 64%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 12
4 Corners 9
199 Passes 412
71% Pass Accuracy 86%
25 Box Touches 32
19 Crosses 34
4 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Debrecen vs MTK Budapest
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Debrecen nicked a narrow win over MTK Budapest 1-0. Level at 0-0 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half.

As we said in the preview, our model had Debrecen as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (62%) — went the other way, though.

By the numbers, MTK Budapest saw more of the ball, 64% to 36%, shots finished 13-23, expected goals 0.83 to 1.51 — on chances, MTK Budapest could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, MTK Budapest led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Debrecen against 1.67 for MTK Budapest.

Debrecen vs MTK Budapest Result & Final Score

Debrecen 1 - 0 MTK Budapest in the Hungary - NB I on 01/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Debrecen vs MTK Budapest Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Debrecen win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Debrecen 44%, draw 24%, MTK Budapest 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Debrecen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Debrecen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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