Falkirk 0-2 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 1 Aug 2026

Falkirk
0-2 HT 0-1
St. Mirren
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2026/2027

Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.66
No
48%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.41
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.26
6+ Goals
11%
11.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.41 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.87
1/2
6%
32.5
1/X
9%
12.55
X/1
12%
4.93
X/2
13%
7.01
X/X
11%
4.76
2/1
8%
24.35
2/2
12%
4.96
2/X
7%
13.15
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.6pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Falkirk v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Falkirk EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 32%
-5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -9%
1.38/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.32
+4% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +0%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
320 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 219 · 67%
23.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.8
26.1 Crosses 23.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0

Falkirk vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Falkirk
3W-1D-2L
AWAY St. Mirren
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.88 xG 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
399 Passes 237
82% Pass Accuracy 73%
22 Box Touches 16
26 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
21.03.2026 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
10.01.2026 St. Mirren St. Mirren 0-2 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKP
13.09.2025 Falkirk Falkirk 1-2 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
28.04.2018 Falkirk Falkirk 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL
17.04.2018 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-2 HT 0-0 Falkirk Falkirk İKCL
21.10.2017 Falkirk Falkirk 0-0 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKCL

Falkirk 0-2 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Falkirk
0-2
AWAY St. Mirren
0.71 xG 1.64
10 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
344 Passes 243
40 Box Touches 29
30 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Falkirk vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Mirren beat Falkirk 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, shots finished 10-15, expected goals 0.71 to 1.64.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Falkirk and 0.83 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Falkirk vs St. Mirren?

Falkirk 0-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Falkirk vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 42%, draw 27%, St. Mirren 31%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Falkirk) ✗ BTTS Yes
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