Aberdeen vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberdeen v Hearts — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aberdeen 2-1 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics
Aberdeen squeezed past Hearts 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 2.66 to 1.34 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aberdeen's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aberdeen and 0.83 for Hearts.
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Hearts?
Aberdeen 2-1 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Hearts?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 30%, draw 29%, Hearts 41%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Hearts), Under 2.5 went the other way.