Hearts vs Aberdeen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hearts v Aberdeen — Team-Based Signals
Hearts vs Aberdeen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Hearts 1-0 Aberdeen — Actual Match Statistics
Hearts squeezed past Aberdeen 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Hearts had 53% of the ball to Aberdeen's 47%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 2.33 to 0.39 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hearts's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hearts and 1.17 for Aberdeen.
What was the final score of Hearts vs Aberdeen?
Hearts 1-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hearts vs Aberdeen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hearts 65%, draw 20%, Aberdeen 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.