Motherwell 2-0 Dundee United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Feb 2026

📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.37
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
15%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.15
Over 2.5
55%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.93
2-3 Goals
41%
1.81
4-5 Goals
24%
2.96
6+ Goals
11%
9.28
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
37%
1.62
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
18.4
X/1
20%
3.79
X/2
5%
15.15
X/X
8%
6.69
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
21.8
2/2
7%
12.95
2/X
4%
21.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 21.8 — our 10% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
69%
-2.0pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.2pp
15%
Away Win
12%
+3.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
43%
+2.5pp
55%
Over 2.5
57%
-2.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Motherwell EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee United EU Bookmakers 15%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
2.10/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.77
+0% / +145% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +61% / +3%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
441 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 260 · 73%
36.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.1
20.5 Crosses 13.2
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Motherwell
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Dundee United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.13
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
306 Passes 269
77% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 24
12 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.12.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 0-0 HT 0-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
29.10.2025 Motherwell Motherwell 2-0 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
22.02.2025 Dundee United Dundee United 1-0 HT 1-0 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
14.12.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 4-3 HT 3-1 Dundee United Dundee United İKP
30.10.2024 Dundee United Dundee United 1-2 HT 1-1 Motherwell Motherwell İKP
20.09.2024 Motherwell Motherwell 2-1 HT 1-0 Dundee United Dundee United İKLK
POST-MATCH Motherwell vs Dundee United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Motherwell beat Dundee United 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Motherwell as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Motherwell had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Motherwell and 1.00 for Dundee United.

What was the final score of Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Motherwell 2-0 Dundee United in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Motherwell vs Dundee United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Motherwell win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Motherwell 67%, draw 18%, Dundee United 15%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Motherwell) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Motherwell) ✗ Over 2.5
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