Livingston 1-1 St. Mirren — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 28 Feb 2026

Livingston
1-1 HT 0-1
St. Mirren
📅28/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Scotland - Premiership – 2025/2026

Livingston vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.08
Draw
20%
3.35
Away
52%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.27
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.37
6+ Goals
9%
12.85
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.37 — our 26% vs market 23.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
5.12
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.35
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
9%
7.05
X/2
17%
4.8
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
7%
34.0
2/2
25%
2.82
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.35 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
29%
-0.9pp
20%
Draw
26%
-6.0pp
52%
Away Win
45%
+6.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.7pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Livingston v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Livingston EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Mirren EU Bookmakers 49%
+2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -21% / -21%
1.35/1.25 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.38
-12% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -56%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
227 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 384 · 80%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.7
17.0 Crosses 26.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2

Livingston vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Livingston
1W-3D-2L
AWAY St. Mirren
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.93 xG 1.41
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
220 Passes 271
63% Pass Accuracy 69%
16 Box Touches 26
17 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
20.01.2026 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
17.01.2026 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 1-1 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKK
20.12.2025 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
17.02.2024 Livingston Livingston 1-0 HT 1-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
25.11.2023 St. Mirren St. Mirren 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
02.09.2023 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 0-0 St. Mirren St. Mirren İKP
POST-MATCH Livingston vs St. Mirren
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Livingston and St. Mirren couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was St. Mirren at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, St. Mirren led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Livingston and 0.83 for St. Mirren.

What was the final score of Livingston vs St. Mirren?

Livingston 1-1 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 28/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Livingston vs St. Mirren?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Mirren win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Livingston 28%, draw 20%, St. Mirren 52%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (St. Mirren) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İKP More Scotland - Premiership
28 Feb 2026
18:00 Dundee FC vs Hibernian Analysis →
18:00 Falkirk vs Kilmarnock Analysis →
18:00 Motherwell vs Dundee United Analysis →
18:00 Hearts vs Aberdeen Analysis →