Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 4 Aug 2025

📅04/08/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.82
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
21%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.78
Over 2.5
46%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
45%
1.8
4-5 Goals
18%
3.89
6+ Goals
8%
16.95
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 27.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
2.45
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
5%
13.75
X/1
18%
4.35
X/2
7%
8.46
X/X
12%
4.59
2/1
8%
25.0
2/2
7%
6.83
2/X
7%
15.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
51%
+4.1pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.9pp
21%
Away Win
23%
-2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+1.9pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-1.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.8pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Aberdeen EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
1.59/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.82
+15% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / -19%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
304 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 69%
28.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.0
25.7 Crosses 19.6
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Aberdeen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.32 xG 1.03
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
325 Passes 320
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
20 Box Touches 25
26 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
19.04.2025 Hearts Hearts 1-2 HT 1-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKK
12.01.2025 Aberdeen Aberdeen 0-0 HT 0-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
01.12.2024 Hearts Hearts 1-1 HT 0-1 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
06.10.2024 Aberdeen Aberdeen 3-2 HT 1-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
27.01.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 0-0 Aberdeen Aberdeen İKP
09.12.2023 Aberdeen Aberdeen 2-1 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
2-0
AWAY Aberdeen
1.02 xG 1.40
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 3
271 Passes 302
73% Pass Accuracy 75%
26 Box Touches 18
21 Crosses 13
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Aberdeen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts got the better of Aberdeen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Hearts had 48% of the ball to Aberdeen's 52%, shots finished 13-11, expected goals 1.02 to 1.40.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aberdeen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hearts and 1.33 for Aberdeen.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Aberdeen?

Hearts 2-0 Aberdeen in the Scotland - Premiership on 04/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Aberdeen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Hearts 55%, draw 25%, Aberdeen 21%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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