Aberdeen vs Hearts Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aberdeen v Hearts — Team-Based Signals
Aberdeen vs Hearts Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Aberdeen 1-0 Hearts — Actual Match Statistics
Aberdeen nicked a narrow win over Hearts 1-0.
Our pre-match lean was Hearts at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Aberdeen had 40% of the ball to Hearts's 60%, shots finished 6-17, expected goals 0.56 to 2.30 — the balance of chances actually favoured Hearts.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aberdeen and 1.33 for Hearts.
What was the final score of Aberdeen vs Hearts?
Aberdeen 1-0 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 23/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aberdeen vs Hearts?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Aberdeen 28%, draw 27%, Hearts 45%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hearts) went the other way.