Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Falkirk v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Falkirk vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Falkirk 1-2 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren squeezed past Falkirk 2-1 on their travels. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
File this under upsets: a 56% lean on Falkirk went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 52% on both teams scoring.
The match data tells the story: Falkirk had 58% of the ball to St. Mirren's 42%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.43 to 0.90 — on chances, Falkirk could feel hard done by.
The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Falkirk and 1.00 for St. Mirren.
Falkirk vs St. Mirren Result & Final Score
Falkirk 1 - 2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 56%, draw 25%, St. Mirren 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Falkirk), Under 2.5 went the other way.