Falkirk vs St. Mirren Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Falkirk v St. Mirren — Team-Based Signals
Falkirk vs St. Mirren Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKCL
1-2
HT 0-0
Falkirk
İKCL
0-0
HT 0-0
St. Mirren
İKCL
3-1
HT 1-1
Falkirk
İKCL
Falkirk 1-2 St. Mirren — Actual Match Statistics
St. Mirren squeezed past Falkirk 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Falkirk at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Falkirk had 58% of the ball to St. Mirren's 42%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 1.43 to 0.90 — the balance of chances actually favoured Falkirk.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Falkirk had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Falkirk and 1.00 for St. Mirren.
What was the final score of Falkirk vs St. Mirren?
Falkirk 1-2 St. Mirren in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Falkirk vs St. Mirren?
Before kick-off our model rated a Falkirk win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Falkirk 54%, draw 26%, St. Mirren 20%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Falkirk), Under 2.5 went the other way.