Hearts 1-0 Dundee FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
65%
1.45
Draw
19%
4.19
Away
16%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.9
No
52%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
28%
3.65
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.65 — our 28% vs market 21.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1.75
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
5%
16.8
X/1
20%
3.86
X/2
5%
13.1
X/X
6%
6.04
2/1
9%
22.25
2/2
7%
11.05
2/X
8%
19.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
65%
Home Win
65%
+0.4pp
19%
Draw
21%
-2.1pp
16%
Away Win
15%
+1.7pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.7pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hearts EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 18%
+5% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +8%
1.59/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.48
-2% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
396 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 197 · 67%
28.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
24.0 Crosses 16.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hearts
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Dundee FC
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.99 xG 0.61
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
373 Passes 205
77% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 20
23 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 2
11.01.2026 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Hearts Hearts İKP
01.11.2025 Hearts Hearts 4-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
26.04.2025 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
07.03.2025 Hearts Hearts 3-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
01.02.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-6 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
07.12.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hearts
1-0
AWAY Dundee FC
1.64 xG 0.55
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 7
380 Passes 254
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
24 Box Touches 25
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hearts vs Dundee FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts edged past Dundee FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 65%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Hearts had 57% of the ball to Dundee FC's 43%, shots finished 16-8, expected goals 1.64 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Hearts and 0.33 for Dundee FC.

What was the final score of Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Hearts 1-0 Dundee FC in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hearts vs Dundee FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 65%, with the full match-result split Hearts 65%, draw 19%, Dundee FC 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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