Kilmarnock 2-0 Livingston — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
24%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
3.13
6+ Goals
11%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
2.41
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
7%
13.1
X/1
17%
4.51
X/2
8%
8.26
X/X
13%
5.11
2/1 EV+ ✗
11%
22.25
2/2
12%
6.14
2/X
5%
14.2
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 11% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
51%
-0.2pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.1pp
24%
Away Win
24%
+0.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kilmarnock EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Livingston EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -19%
1.58/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.22
+16% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
26.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
25.3 Crosses 16.5
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kilmarnock
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Livingston
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.05 xG 1.22
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
242 Passes 264
67% Pass Accuracy 67%
20 Box Touches 21
23 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
10.01.2026 Livingston Livingston 1-1 HT 1-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
02.08.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 2-2 HT 2-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
16.07.2025 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 1-0 Livingston Livingston İKLK
07.02.2024 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 1-0 HT 0-0 Livingston Livingston İKP
16.12.2023 Livingston Livingston 0-0 HT 0-0 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock İKP
21.10.2023 Kilmarnock Kilmarnock 3-1 HT 2-1 Livingston Livingston İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kilmarnock
2-0
AWAY Livingston
1.71 xG 0.79
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 4
273 Passes 411
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 15
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kilmarnock vs Livingston
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kilmarnock saw off Livingston 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kilmarnock as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kilmarnock had 42% of the ball to Livingston's 58%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.71 to 0.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kilmarnock had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kilmarnock and 0.67 for Livingston.

What was the final score of Kilmarnock vs Livingston?

Kilmarnock 2-0 Livingston in the Scotland - Premiership on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kilmarnock vs Livingston?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kilmarnock win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Kilmarnock 51%, draw 25%, Livingston 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kilmarnock) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kilmarnock) ✗ BTTS Yes
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