Dundee FC 0-1 Hearts — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Premiership, 11 Jan 2026

📅11/01/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
5.09
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
58%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
3.49
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
25%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.49 — our 29% vs market 23.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.86
1/2
9%
23.1
1/X
5%
18.3
X/1
8%
11.8
X/2
20%
4.02
X/X
11%
5.69
2/1
5%
35.0
2/2
30%
1.93
2/X
5%
16.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
16%
+3.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.5pp
58%
Away Win
61%
-3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dundee FC EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Hearts EU Bookmakers 66%
-7% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
0.53/1.73 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.82/0.68
-29% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +63%
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
231 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 413 · 82%
10.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
15.7 Crosses 25.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dundee FC
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Hearts
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
0.65 xG 2.23
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
182 Passes 378
61% Pass Accuracy 77%
17 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.11.2025 Hearts Hearts 4-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
26.04.2025 Hearts Hearts 0-1 HT 0-1 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
07.03.2025 Hearts Hearts 3-1 HT 1-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKK
01.02.2025 Dundee FC Dundee FC 0-6 HT 0-2 Hearts Hearts İKP
07.12.2024 Hearts Hearts 2-0 HT 2-0 Dundee FC Dundee FC İKP
10.08.2024 Dundee FC Dundee FC 3-1 HT 3-0 Hearts Hearts İKP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dundee FC
0-1
AWAY Hearts
1.34 xG 0.36
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
277 Passes 264
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
31 Box Touches 7
45 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Dundee FC vs Hearts
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hearts squeezed past Dundee FC 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hearts as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dundee FC had 53% of the ball to Hearts's 47%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.34 to 0.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Dundee FC.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hearts led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Dundee FC and 2.67 for Hearts.

What was the final score of Dundee FC vs Hearts?

Dundee FC 0-1 Hearts in the Scotland - Premiership on 11/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dundee FC vs Hearts?

Before kick-off our model rated an Hearts win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Dundee FC 20%, draw 22%, Hearts 58%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hearts), BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Hearts) ✓ BTTS No
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