First Vienna 4-0 Sturm Graz II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Austria - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.57
Draw
33%
3.94
Away
28%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.1
Over 2.5
46%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.82
2-3 Goals
45%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
9.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1.98
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
14.65
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
12%
10.45
X/X
17%
5.83
2/1
8%
21.0
2/2
10%
8.12
2/X EV+ ✗
11%
16.35
Value flag · 2/X at 16.35 — our 11% vs market 3.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
59%
-20.5pp
33%
Draw
22%
+11.2pp
28%
Away Win
19%
+9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
44%
+9.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
56%
-9.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME First Vienna EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sturm Graz II EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +11%
1.76/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.67
-16% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
290 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME First Vienna
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sturm Graz II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2026 First Vienna First Vienna 2-1 HT 1-1 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
18.10.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 0-2 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
29.04.2025 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 4-1 HT 3-0 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
04.10.2024 First Vienna First Vienna 2-4 HT 1-2 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
24.02.2024 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II 1-1 HT 0-1 First Vienna First Vienna AU2
06.08.2023 First Vienna First Vienna 2-2 HT 1-0 Sturm Graz II Sturm Graz II AU2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME First Vienna
4-0
AWAY Sturm Graz II
22 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

First Vienna cruised past Sturm Graz II 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 33% / 28%) promised a tight game; First Vienna found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, shots finished 22-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for First Vienna and 2.00 for Sturm Graz II.

What was the final score of First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

First Vienna 4-0 Sturm Graz II in the Austria - 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for First Vienna vs Sturm Graz II?

Before kick-off our model rated a First Vienna win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split First Vienna 39%, draw 33%, Sturm Graz II 28%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (First Vienna) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (First Vienna) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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