Adamstown Rosebuds 2-1 Valentine Phoenix — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Yeni South Wales, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.23
Over 2.5
47%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.46
No
50%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
41%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
41%
+11.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
59%
-11.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
64%
-14.0pp
50%
BTTS No
36%
+14.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Valentine Phoenix EU Bookmakers 38%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -31%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
345 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Adamstown Rosebuds
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Valentine Phoenix
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
33% Ball Possession 67%
11 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 10
1 Corners 9
0 Yellow Cards 2
18.04.2026 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 0-3 HT 0-2 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
25.06.2025 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-4 HT 2-1 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
21.02.2025 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 3-2 HT 0-0 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
03.08.2024 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 3-0 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNSW
09.03.2024 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds 0-3 HT 0-1 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix AVNPL
20.05.2023 Valentine Phoenix Valentine Phoenix 2-3 HT 0-0 Adamstown Rosebuds Adamstown Rosebuds AVNPL
POST-MATCH Adamstown Rosebuds vs Valentine Phoenix
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Adamstown Rosebuds squeezed past Valentine Phoenix 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Adamstown Rosebuds as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Adamstown Rosebuds had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Adamstown Rosebuds and 2.00 for Valentine Phoenix.

What was the final score of Adamstown Rosebuds vs Valentine Phoenix?

Adamstown Rosebuds 2-1 Valentine Phoenix in the Australia - Yeni South Wales on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Adamstown Rosebuds vs Valentine Phoenix?

Before kick-off our model rated a Adamstown Rosebuds win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Adamstown Rosebuds 41%, draw 25%, Valentine Phoenix 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Adamstown Rosebuds) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Adamstown Rosebuds) ✗ Under 2.5
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