TPS Turku 3-0 IFK Mariehamn — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 1 Aug 2026

TPS Turku
3-0 HT 2-0
IFK Mariehamn
📅01/08/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Finland - Veikkausliiga – 2026

TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
23%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.85
4-5 Goals
28%
2.84
6+ Goals
10%
8.23
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.92
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.95
X/1
17%
4.14
X/2
7%
11.0
X/X
11%
6.21
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
20.25
2/2
10%
8.42
2/X
5%
16.7
Value flag · 2/1 at 20.25 — our 9% vs market 2.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.5pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.6pp
23%
Away Win
18%
+4.9pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+5.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-5.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

TPS Turku v IFK Mariehamn — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME TPS Turku EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY IFK Mariehamn EU Bookmakers 21%
-5% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +6%
2.36/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.61
+16% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
369 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 79%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.7
– Crosses 15.7
– Yellow Cards 1.8

TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME TPS Turku
0W-5D-1L
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.79 xG 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
354 Passes 342
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
36 Box Touches 11
23 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
04.04.2026 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
11.02.2026 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 0-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FLK
28.05.2025 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 2-2 HT 2-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK
14.09.2020 TPS Turku TPS Turku 1-1 HT 0-0 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn FİN
16.08.2020 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-0 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİN
02.02.2020 IFK Mariehamn IFK Mariehamn 1-1 HT 1-0 TPS Turku TPS Turku FİK

TPS Turku 3-0 IFK Mariehamn — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME TPS Turku
3-0
AWAY IFK Mariehamn
2.10 xG 1.21
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
370 Passes 326
24 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn
Match summary & frequently asked questions

TPS Turku ran out comfortable winners over IFK Mariehamn 3-0 in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 1 Aug 2026. Half-time: 2-0.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, shots finished 11-18, expected goals 2.10 to 1.21.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, IFK Mariehamn lead the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for TPS Turku and 1.17 for IFK Mariehamn.

What was the final score of TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

TPS Turku 3-0 IFK Mariehamn in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for TPS Turku vs IFK Mariehamn?

Before kick-off our model rated a TPS Turku win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split TPS Turku 55%, draw 22%, IFK Mariehamn 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (TPS Turku), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (TPS Turku) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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