Gnistan 0-1 KuPS Kuopio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Veikkausliiga, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
42%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.15
Over 2.5
54%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.04
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
24%
2.92
6+ Goals
11%
8.89
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
5.16
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
21.8
1/X
9%
13.45
X/1
13%
7.5
X/2
18%
4.83
X/X
10%
5.36
2/1
6%
31.5
2/2
15%
2.62
2/X
7%
12.75
Value flag · 1/2 at 21.8 — our 8% vs market 2.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+4.1pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.1pp
42%
Away Win
47%
-5.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
43%
+3.4pp
54%
Over 2.5
57%
-3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-6.2pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gnistan EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Kuopio EU Bookmakers 51%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.53/1.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.11
+14% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +11%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
251 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 408 · 84%
26.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
20.3 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gnistan
0W-1D-5L
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.83
1.32 xG 2.12
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 7
5 Corners 6
288 Passes 474
77% Pass Accuracy 86%
27 Box Touches 35
18 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
11.04.2026 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-0 HT 0-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
30.10.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 1-1 HT 1-0 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
27.09.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 0-4 HT 0-2 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
01.07.2025 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 6-2 HT 3-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
27.04.2025 Gnistan Gnistan 1-2 HT 1-0 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio FİN
07.07.2024 KuPS Kuopio KuPS Kuopio 3-1 HT 3-1 Gnistan Gnistan FİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gnistan
0-1
AWAY KuPS Kuopio
2.08 xG 1.81
18 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 3
209 Passes 369
25 Box Touches 24
26 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio
Match summary & frequently asked questions

KuPS Kuopio edged past Gnistan 1-0 away from home in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 1 Aug 2026.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, shots finished 18-12, expected goals 2.08 to 1.81.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, KuPS Kuopio lead the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gnistan and 2.83 for KuPS Kuopio.

What was the final score of Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?

Gnistan 0-1 KuPS Kuopio in the Finland - Veikkausliiga on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio?

Before kick-off our model rated an KuPS Kuopio win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Gnistan 32%, draw 26%, KuPS Kuopio 42%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Kuopio) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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