Eldense 1-2 Real Murcia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Friendlies, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒20:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.02
Draw
34%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.76
No
54%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
33%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.71
4-5 Goals
17%
3.51
6+ Goals
9%
14.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 33% vs market 26.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
46%
-13.0pp
34%
Draw
26%
+7.8pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.4pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-6.7pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eldense EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Murcia EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
320 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eldense
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Real Murcia
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.05.2026 Real Murcia Real Murcia 3-0 HT 2-0 Eldense Eldense İS3
26.10.2025 Eldense Eldense 1-1 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
06.08.2025 Real Murcia Real Murcia 3-1 HT 2-0 Eldense Eldense HAZ
14.01.2023 Eldense Eldense 1-0 HT 0-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS3
03.04.2022 Eldense Eldense 1-3 HT 1-0 Real Murcia Real Murcia İS4
14.11.2021 Real Murcia Real Murcia 1-2 HT 1-0 Eldense Eldense İS4
POST-MATCH Eldense vs Real Murcia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Real Murcia squeezed past Eldense 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 33%) promised a tight game; Real Murcia found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Real Murcia led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Eldense and 1.83 for Real Murcia.

What was the final score of Eldense vs Real Murcia?

Eldense 1-2 Real Murcia in the Friendlies on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eldense vs Real Murcia?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Eldense 33%, draw 34%, Real Murcia 33%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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