Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1 Atmosfera — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
4.71
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
57%
1.6
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
25%
X/X
11%
2/1
4%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
18%
+1.0pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
57%
Away Win
58%
-1.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
46%
+1.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
54%
-1.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.8pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Atmosfera EU Bookmakers 62%
-16% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.06/1.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.70/0.36
+4% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
235 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Atmosfera
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
18.03.2026 Atmosfera Atmosfera 2-1 HT 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
22.07.2025 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-3 HT 0-2 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
07.03.2025 Atmosfera Atmosfera 1-0 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II LIT1
28.09.2024 Kauno Zalgiris II Kauno Zalgiris II 1-1 Atmosfera Atmosfera LIT1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kauno Zalgiris II
3-1
AWAY Atmosfera
9 Total Shots 14
7 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kauno Zalgiris II saw off Atmosfera 3-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Atmosfera carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 9-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Atmosfera led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kauno Zalgiris II and 1.75 for Atmosfera.

What was the final score of Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera?

Kauno Zalgiris II 3-1 Atmosfera in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kauno Zalgiris II vs Atmosfera?

Before kick-off our model rated an Atmosfera win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Kauno Zalgiris II 19%, draw 24%, Atmosfera 57%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Atmosfera), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Atmosfera) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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