Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Dinamo Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒20:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.57
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.68
Over 2.5
40%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.82
No
58%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.68
2-3 Goals
37%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.03
6+ Goals
9%
19.4
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.68 — our 35% vs market 30.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
4.14
1/2
8%
30.0
1/X
6%
13.4
X/1
19%
5.76
X/2
9%
5.32
X/X
15%
4.14
2/1
6%
32.0
2/2
17%
3.66
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
35%
+2.0pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-2.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.3pp
42%
BTTS Yes
51%
-8.5pp
58%
BTTS No
49%
+8.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Dinamo Moscow EU Bookmakers 40%
+0% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +21%
1.44/1.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.52
-30% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -11%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
220 · 66% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 71%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.5
18.2 Crosses 15.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
0W-2D-3L
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.26 xG 1.43
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
242 Passes 312
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
23 Box Touches 22
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.05.2026 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-2 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
18.07.2025 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 1-1 HT 0-1 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
11.05.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 2-3 HT 1-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUS
13.08.2023 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow 2-0 HT 0-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
19.04.2022 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 1-1 HT 0-1 Dinamo Moscow Dinamo Moscow RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Baltika Kaliningrad
2-1
AWAY Dinamo Moscow
1.34 xG 0.76
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
128 Passes 490
25 Box Touches 25
9 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 0
FAQ Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moscow
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Baltika Kaliningrad edged past Dinamo Moscow 2-1 in the Russia - Premier League on 1 Aug 2026. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 60% and both teams to score was close to even at 42%.

On the day, shots finished 8-14, expected goals 1.34 to 0.76.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dinamo Moscow lead the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Baltika Kaliningrad and 1.80 for Dinamo Moscow.

What was the final score of Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moscow?

Baltika Kaliningrad 2-1 Dinamo Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Baltika Kaliningrad vs Dinamo Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Baltika Kaliningrad win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Baltika Kaliningrad 37%, draw 29%, Dinamo Moscow 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Baltika Kaliningrad) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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