Makhachkala 2-1 Lokomotiv Moscow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 1 Aug 2026

📅01/08/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
46%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.84
6+ Goals
8%
17.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 32% vs market 28.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
5.28
1/2
8%
27.0
1/X
7%
13.7
X/1
9%
6.95
X/2
18%
4.76
X/X
13%
4.26
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
20%
2.93
2/X
8%
12.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
28%
-1.9pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
44%
+1.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+3.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-3.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.0pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 48%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -15%
1.36/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.49
+5% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / -35%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
260 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 73%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.6
19.8 Crosses 19.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Makhachkala
0W-3D-2L
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
0.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
0.83 xG 1.30
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
227 Passes 369
67% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 30
16 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.04.2026 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 HT 0-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
20.09.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
11.03.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUSK
28.02.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
10.08.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Makhachkala
2-1
AWAY Lokomotiv Moscow
2.24 xG 1.73
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 9
237 Passes 361
18 Box Touches 28
8 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 2
FAQ Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Makhachkala edged past Lokomotiv Moscow 2-1 in the Russia - Premier League on 1 Aug 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 42% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 12-13, expected goals 2.24 to 1.73.

Across their last 5 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow lead the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.80 goals for Makhachkala and 1.40 for Lokomotiv Moscow.

What was the final score of Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Makhachkala 2-1 Lokomotiv Moscow in the Russia - Premier League on 01/08/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Makhachkala vs Lokomotiv Moscow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Makhachkala 26%, draw 28%, Lokomotiv Moscow 45%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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