Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 Makhachkala — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.66
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
18%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.95
No
56%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.88
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
23%
3.75
6+ Goals
8%
16.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
2.15
1/2
3%
34.0
1/X
6%
14.5
X/1
16%
4.08
X/2
8%
9.88
X/X
12%
4.66
2/1
7%
25.0
2/2
7%
8.36
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
56%
+2.1pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
18%
Away Win
19%
-0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.9pp
56%
BTTS No
53%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Makhachkala EU Bookmakers 22%
-3% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.70/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.54
-4% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
370 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 74%
29.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
18.9 Crosses 17.3
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Makhachkala
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
1.38 xG 0.80
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
341 Passes 248
75% Pass Accuracy 69%
26 Box Touches 17
21 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.09.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
11.03.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-2 HT 1-1 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUSK
28.02.2025 Makhachkala Makhachkala 1-1 HT 1-0 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow RUS
10.08.2024 Lokomotiv Moscow Lokomotiv Moscow 2-0 HT 1-0 Makhachkala Makhachkala RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lokomotiv Moscow
1-1
AWAY Makhachkala
1.07 xG 0.92
68% Ball Possession 32%
16 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
454 Passes 163
82% Pass Accuracy 62%
42 Box Touches 18
37 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lokomotiv Moscow vs Makhachkala
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotiv Moscow and Makhachkala couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Lokomotiv Moscow carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Lokomotiv Moscow had 68% of the ball to Makhachkala's 32%, shots finished 16-6, expected goals 1.07 to 0.92.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Lokomotiv Moscow had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lokomotiv Moscow and 0.75 for Makhachkala.

What was the final score of Lokomotiv Moscow vs Makhachkala?

Lokomotiv Moscow 1-1 Makhachkala in the Russia - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotiv Moscow vs Makhachkala?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotiv Moscow win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Lokomotiv Moscow 58%, draw 24%, Makhachkala 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotiv Moscow) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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