Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 Krasnodar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.96
Draw
22%
3.28
Away
30%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.75
Over 2.5
45%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.82
No
53%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
2.84
2-3 Goals
41%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.8
6+ Goals
8%
17.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.84 — our 30% vs market 28.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.74
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
6%
13.3
X/1
15%
4.56
X/2
14%
7.34
X/X
11%
4.37
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
11%
5.72
2/X
5%
14.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
47%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
27%
-4.7pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.5pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Krasnodar EU Bookmakers 29%
+7% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.51/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.40
-15% / +123% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
357 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 73%
23.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.5
17.8 Crosses 12.5
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Krasnodar
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.11 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 Passes 318
79% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
21.09.2025 Krasnodar Krasnodar 0-2 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.04.2025 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-1 HT 2-1 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
28.09.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 2-0 HT 0-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
13.07.2024 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 4-2 HT 3-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar Rusya - Süper Kupa
13.04.2024 Krasnodar Krasnodar 1-2 HT 1-0 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg RUS
11.11.2023 Zenit St. Petersburg Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Krasnodar Krasnodar RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zenit St. Petersburg
1-1
AWAY Krasnodar
0.43 xG 0.62
42% Ball Possession 58%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
0 Corners 5
239 Passes 352
72% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 25
8 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krasnodar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zenit St. Petersburg and Krasnodar shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zenit St. Petersburg at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zenit St. Petersburg had 42% of the ball to Krasnodar's 58%, shots finished 5-10, expected goals 0.43 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zenit St. Petersburg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Zenit St. Petersburg and 1.17 for Krasnodar.

What was the final score of Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krasnodar?

Zenit St. Petersburg 1-1 Krasnodar in the Russia - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krasnodar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zenit St. Petersburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Zenit St. Petersburg 48%, draw 22%, Krasnodar 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zenit St. Petersburg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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