Rostov 1-1 Spartak Moskova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 12 Apr 2026

📅12/04/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.8
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
41%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.68
Over 2.5
51%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.85
No
44%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.64
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
20.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
4.45
1/2 EV+ ✗
8%
29.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
10%
5.96
X/2
14%
5.02
X/X
13%
4.18
2/1
6%
34.0
2/2
20%
3.42
2/X
7%
13.55
Value flag · 1/2 at 29.0 — our 8% vs market 1.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
32%
-1.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.0pp
41%
Away Win
40%
+1.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
56%
-6.6pp
51%
Over 2.5
44%
+6.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
50%
+6.1pp
44%
BTTS No
50%
-6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rostov EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Moskova EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -10%
1.51/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.20
-5% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -23%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 77%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.3
20.1 Crosses 20.5
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rostov
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.98 xG 1.63
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
184 Passes 372
66% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 24
15 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-1 HT 0-0 Rostov Rostov RUS
18.09.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 1-0 Rostov Rostov RUK
30.07.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-2 HT 0-2 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
15.05.2025 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova 1-2 HT 0-1 Rostov Rostov RUSK
06.04.2025 Rostov Rostov 0-3 HT 0-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUS
27.11.2024 Rostov Rostov 2-1 HT 2-0 Spartak Moskova Spartak Moskova RUK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rostov
1-1
AWAY Spartak Moskova
1.36 xG 1.92
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
196 Passes 297
65% Pass Accuracy 73%
17 Box Touches 18
14 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rostov vs Spartak Moskova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rostov and Spartak Moskova shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Spartak Moskova at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Rostov had 43% of the ball to Spartak Moskova's 57%, shots finished 10-16, expected goals 1.36 to 1.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Rostov had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rostov and 1.50 for Spartak Moskova.

What was the final score of Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?

Rostov 1-1 Spartak Moskova in the Russia - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rostov vs Spartak Moskova?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rostov 31%, draw 28%, Spartak Moskova 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spartak Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS More Russia - Premier League
12 Apr 2026
14:00 CSKA Moskova vs FC Sochi Analysis →
16:30 Lokomotiv Moscow vs Makhachkala Analysis →
19:30 Zenit St. Petersburg vs Krasnodar Analysis →