Spartak Moskova vs Rostov Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spartak Moskova v Rostov — Team-Based Signals
Spartak Moskova vs Rostov Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Spartak Moskova 1-2 Rostov — Actual Match Statistics
Rostov nicked a narrow win over Spartak Moskova 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
This one beat our numbers. Spartak Moskova carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Spartak Moskova had 61% of the ball to Rostov's 39%, shots finished 13-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Spartak Moskova and 0.83 for Rostov.
What was the final score of Spartak Moskova vs Rostov?
Spartak Moskova 1-2 Rostov in the Russia - Cup on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spartak Moskova vs Rostov?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spartak Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Spartak Moskova 62%, draw 19%, Rostov 19%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spartak Moskova) went the other way.