CSKA Moskova 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Cup, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.32
6+ Goals
10%
12.75
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.14 — our 29% vs market 24.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
15%
2/1
9%
2/2
8%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+3.1pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+2.5pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+3.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.0pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad EU Bookmakers 17%
+1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.66/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.80/1.81
-16% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +2%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
388 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.60
0.58 xG 0.37
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
368 Passes 256
76% Pass Accuracy 70%
27 Box Touches 11
20 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.08.2025 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-2 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
28.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 3-1 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
16.04.2024 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 2-0 HT 2-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUK
03.04.2024 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad 0-1 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
30.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-0 HT 1-0 Baltika Kaliningrad Baltika Kaliningrad RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
1-1
AWAY Baltika Kaliningrad
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CSKA Moskova and Baltika Kaliningrad couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. CSKA Moskova carried 59% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 58% of the ball to Baltika Kaliningrad's 42%, shots finished 9-13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for CSKA Moskova and 0.60 for Baltika Kaliningrad.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

CSKA Moskova 1-1 Baltika Kaliningrad in the Russia - Cup on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs Baltika Kaliningrad?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 59%, draw 24%, Baltika Kaliningrad 17%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (CSKA Moskova), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUK More Russia - Cup
18 Sep 2025
20:45 Spartak Moskova vs Rostov Analysis →