CSKA Moskova 0-1 FC Sochi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - Premier League, 12 Apr 2026

CSKA Moskova
0-1 HT 0-1
FC Sochi
📅12/04/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
Russia - Premier League – 2025/2026

CSKA Moskova vs FC Sochi Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.29
Draw
17%
5.15
Away
12%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
4.52
2-3 Goals
38%
1.88
4-5 Goals
26%
2.74
6+ Goals
11%
7.51
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.41
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
23.5
X/1
25%
3.66
X/2
4%
21.15
X/X
8%
8.34
2/1 EV+ ✗
12%
22.25
2/2
4%
18.85
2/X
5%
28.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.25 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
73%
-2.3pp
17%
Draw
16%
+0.7pp
12%
Away Win
11%
+1.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+4.7pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

CSKA Moskova v FC Sochi — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME CSKA Moskova EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Sochi EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -1%
1.98/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.68/2.17
-2% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -26%
61% Ball Possession 39%
18 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
451 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
29.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
20.1 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.4

CSKA Moskova vs FC Sochi Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME CSKA Moskova
2W-3D-1L
AWAY FC Sochi
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.98 xG 1.09
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
358 Passes 320
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
22.09.2025 FC Sochi FC Sochi 1-3 HT 1-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
30.03.2024 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-2 HT 0-1 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS
20.09.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUK
30.08.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 0-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUK
13.08.2023 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova 3-1 HT 0-0 FC Sochi FC Sochi RUS
05.03.2023 FC Sochi FC Sochi 2-0 HT 0-0 CSKA Moskova CSKA Moskova RUS

CSKA Moskova 0-1 FC Sochi — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME CSKA Moskova
0-1
AWAY FC Sochi
1.31 xG 1.63
68% Ball Possession 32%
21 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 2
446 Passes 166
83% Pass Accuracy 66%
30 Box Touches 13
38 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH CSKA Moskova vs FC Sochi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Sochi nicked a narrow win over CSKA Moskova 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. CSKA Moskova carried 71% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, CSKA Moskova had 68% of the ball to FC Sochi's 32%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 1.31 to 1.63.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, CSKA Moskova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for CSKA Moskova and 1.17 for FC Sochi.

What was the final score of CSKA Moskova vs FC Sochi?

CSKA Moskova 0-1 FC Sochi in the Russia - Premier League on 12/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for CSKA Moskova vs FC Sochi?

Before kick-off our model rated a CSKA Moskova win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split CSKA Moskova 71%, draw 17%, FC Sochi 12%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (CSKA Moskova) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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